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Stochastic Optimal Power Flow Based on Data-Driven Distributionally Robust Optimization

机译:基于数据驱动的分布式随机最优潮流   稳健优化

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摘要

We propose a data-driven method to solve a stochastic optimal power flow(OPF) problem based on limited information about forecast error distributions.The objective is to determine power schedules for controllable devices in apower network to balance operation cost and conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) ofdevice and network constraint violations. These decisions include scheduledpower output adjustments and reserve policies, which specify planned reactionsto forecast errors in order to accommodate fluctuating renewable energysources. Instead of assuming the uncertainties across the networks followprescribed probability distributions, we assume the distributions are onlyobservable through a finite training dataset. By utilizing the Wassersteinmetric to quantify differences between the empirical data-based distributionand the real data-generating distribution, we formulate a distributionallyrobust optimization OPF problem to search for power schedules and reservepolicies that are robust to sampling errors inherent in the dataset. A simplenumerical example illustrates inherent tradeoffs between operation cost andrisk of constraint violation, and we show how our proposed method offers adata-driven framework to balance these objectives.
机译:我们基于预测误差分布的有限信息,提出了一种数据驱动的方法来解决随机最优潮流(OPF)问题。目标是确定电力网络中可控设备的功率调度,以平衡运营成本和有条件的电价。设备和网络约束违规的风险(CVaR)。这些决策包括计划的功率输出调整和储备政策,这些政策规定了对预测误差的计划反应,以适应不断变化的可再生能源。代替假设网络中的不确定性遵循规定的概率分布,我们假设这些分布只能通过有限的训练数据集观察到。通过利用Wassersteinmetric量化基于经验数据的分布与实际数据生成的分布之间的差异,我们制定了一种分布稳健的优化OPF问题,以搜索对数据集中固有误差有鲁棒性的功率调度和备用策略。一个简单的数字示例说明了运营成本和约束违规风险之间的内在折衷,并且我们展示了我们提出的方法如何提供数据驱动的框架来平衡这些目标。

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